Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.020664 0.022241 0.023881 0.025715 0.027711 0.029819 0.032216
2025-12-21 0.018067 0.020338 0.022823 0.025749 0.029108 0.032854 0.037360
2025-12-28 0.016249 0.018904 0.021919 0.025608 0.030020 0.035147 0.041587
2026-01-04 0.014956 0.017867 0.021274 0.025577 0.030895 0.037291 0.045624
2026-01-11 0.013989 0.017095 0.020824 0.025663 0.031821 0.039452 0.049719
2026-01-18 0.013160 0.016405 0.020391 0.025688 0.032604 0.041410 0.053606
2026-01-25 0.012510 0.015878 0.020102 0.025840 0.033512 0.043527 0.057778
2026-02-01 0.011774 0.015184 0.019541 0.025578 0.033822 0.044831 0.060885
2026-02-08 0.011059 0.014472 0.018904 0.025156 0.033864 0.045737 0.063451
2026-02-15 0.010507 0.013940 0.018471 0.024971 0.034196 0.047029 0.066604
2026-02-22 0.009978 0.013408 0.018003 0.024700 0.034375 0.048088 0.069448
2026-03-01 0.009527 0.012958 0.017619 0.024519 0.034654 0.049285 0.072539
2026-03-08 0.009066 0.012487 0.017203 0.024296 0.034901 0.050506 0.075845
2026-03-15 0.008722 0.012167 0.016987 0.024354 0.035568 0.052395 0.080328
2026-03-22 0.008350 0.011787 0.016661 0.024226 0.035938 0.053838 0.084180
2026-03-29 0.008036 0.011474 0.016415 0.024197 0.036446 0.055510 0.088495
2026-04-05 0.007775 0.011226 0.016250 0.024278 0.037122 0.057471 0.093405
2026-04-12 0.007517 0.010969 0.016058 0.024301 0.037696 0.059287 0.098174
2026-04-19 0.007307 0.010774 0.015948 0.024444 0.038464 0.061453 0.103684
2026-04-26 0.007015 0.010440 0.015608 0.024198 0.038571 0.062507 0.107275
2026-05-03 0.006706 0.010067 0.015190 0.023802 0.038403 0.063073 0.110000
2026-05-10 0.006467 0.009793 0.014915 0.023628 0.038595 0.064264 0.113947
2026-05-17 0.006224 0.009503 0.014603 0.023374 0.038633 0.065176 0.117416